09 June 2025
A Segmentation Study on Who Participates, Who Doesn’t, and Why
November 4, 2026
Current Events
Democracy & Elections
In 2026, just 23.3% of the voting-eligible population participated in midterm primaries. Even though turnout is higher in general elections (it was 46.2% in 2022 and 63.9% in 2024), most elections are decided during the primaries. Despite often being the most important election, especially where one party dominates the general election, many Americans are missing out on a major opportunity to choose who represents them. Primary elections also remain understudied compared to general elections, leaving questions about who participates, why, and how to help more Americans to the polls during primaries.
A new study from More in Common and Unite America Institute offers clues for how to expand this primary electorate and increase participation. Our central finding is that expanding the primary electorate is partly about helping willing but inconsistent participants become regular voters, not only making sure engaged voters turn out or persuading disengaged Americans to care.
We find a sizable group of Americans (19%) who want to become more regular primary voters but are still figuring out how the process works. Among these Figuring-It-Out Primary Voters, 87% want to vote more often and 87% are interested in learning more about the basics of primary elections, including what they are for, how they work, when they take place, and how they can participate. This suggests an opportunity to turn existing interest into consistent participation through basic voter education, practical guidance, and timely reminders about upcoming primaries.
By contrast, the two groups of highly engaged primary voters, who together make up 44% of American adult citizens, are already familiar with those basics and are more interested in learning about the candidates and issues at stake. For these voters, get-out-the-vote efforts could instead emphasize timely, nonpartisan information about candidates and what’s at stake in each primary.
The study draws on an online survey of 3,930 U.S. adult citizens, conducted from August 21-September 1, 2026, with results weighted to the adult citizen population.
Here are our key findings.

Their strong desire to participate coexists with less consistent voting and substantial gaps in their understanding of primary elections.




Do-Your-Part and Skeptical-But-Engaged groups together represent approximately 44% of adult citizens.


Not-For-Me Americans tend to express more alienation and doubts about the relevance of primary elections, while Focused-Elsewhere Americans stand out for their uncertainty about political topics and limited connection to politics in any form.

More in Common conducted an online survey through Dynata of 3,930 U.S. adult citizens from August 21–September 1, 2026.
At the start of fieldwork, nearly all states had held their initial statewide primaries; the exceptions were Massachusetts (September 1), New Hampshire (September 8), Rhode Island (September 9), and Delaware (September 15). Based on the primary dates recorded in the survey dataset, approximately 98% of respondents completed the survey on or after their state’s primary election day.
Results were weighted to the adult citizen population by age and gender, race/ethnicity, education, region, and 2024 presidential vote and turnout. The study reports a weighting-adjusted margin of error of ±1.82 percentage points for national estimates, with greater uncertainty for subgroups. Reported percentages are weighted. Voting measures are self-reported, not validated against official voting records. Frequent primary voting means reporting voting every or nearly every time, or most of the time, over the past 10 years. The 2026 participation figures combine respondents who reported already voting with those who said they definitely would vote and whose state’s primary had not yet occurred when they completed the survey. Observational associations do not establish causality.
Primary Orientations segmentation: We conducted exploratory factor analysis prior to the segmentation, using minimum-residual extraction and oblimin rotation, summarized 60 retained survey inputs into ten underlying factors covering primary-election orientations, political attitudes, core beliefs, psychological characteristics, social experiences, and civics education. These factors were used in k-means++ clustering to identify five segments. The solution was selected after evaluating alternative models for internal stability and relationships with key outcomes. Segment shares describe the U.S. adult citizen population, not the primary electorate.
More in Common conducted qualitative research with 304 participants through its “Americans in Conversation” panel from October 14-20, 2026, to explore participants’ experiences and interpretations in their own words and assess the segment profiles.
of the voting-eligible population participated in midterm primaries.
of Americans want to become more regular primary voters but are still figuring out how the process works.
of Figuring It Out Primary Voters want to vote more often and 87% are interested in learning more about the basics of primary elections.
Explore the depth of our research at your fingertips. Get the complete insights by downloading the full report today.
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