Between Hesitation and Hope

October 28, 2024

Topic

Tech, Social Media, & Disinformation

As a major technological breakthrough, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) is poised to profoundly impact American society. More in Common seeks to elevate Americans’ voices as private and public leaders weigh decisions about GenAI that will impact our key issues, including declining social cohesion, collapsing institutional trust, and rising political division. 

Key Takeaways

  • Americans view GenAI as a powerful force whose full consequences are yet to be seen. 
    • The most expressed emotion is “uncertain” (49%), followed by “interested” (36%) and “worried” (29%). 
    • Americans are split on whether the technology will improve their lives, worsen their lives, or make no difference at all. 
    • Women, rural Americans, and those with a low sense of belonging are generally more skeptical and fearful about GenAI’s impact compared to men, urban residents, and those with a strong sense of community.

  • Most fear GenAI will make society more distrusting, divided, dependent, and dumb. 
    • Four in five (83%) worry GenAI will erode trust in news, and three in five (65%) fear it will further strain trust among people. 
    • Three in four (76%) believe it will make us lazier—overly reliant on technology for everyday cognitive and intellectual tasks.
    • Three in five (62%) express concern that GenAI will lead to a less intelligent society, impacting the development of critical thinking skills. 

  • GenAI is more appealing in supporting roles, but threatening in roles of authority and intimacy. 
    • Americans are generally more positive about AI as assistants or drivers, where human agency remains more present. 
    • Hesitation rises when GenAI takes on roles like doctors, judges, or friends, where its authority or intimacy feels invasive or dehumanizing.
    • But the details of the technology matter: there is no majority consensus about whether a technology would be more harmful or helpful across 8 of 9 GenAI roles. The single exception is GenAI in the role of a romantic partner, which Americans overwhelmingly reject as harmful. 

  • Americans’ attitudes towards GenAI fall into five segments that skew towards being doubtful.
    • Using a cluster analysis, we identify that half of Americans are grouped into Skeptics (21%) and Cautious (28%), groups marked by high levels of concern and uncertainty about GenAI impacts.
    • Tech Enthusiasts (14%) and Boosters (16%) are more optimistic, seeing GenAI as a tool for progress. A substantial number are simply Indifferent (21%).
    • Demographic factors influence these segments, with women and rural Americans more likely to be Skeptics or Cautious, while men, urban residents, and those with higher education lean toward Tech Enthusiasts and Boosters.

  • We see nearly identical attitudes towards Big Tech and government regulation across parties and major groups.
    • Members of the political parties are just 2% apart on whether “Big tech companies do not help the American public” (Democrats: 70%, Republicans: 72%).
    • Members of the political parties are 5% apart in doubting that GenAI development will protect Americans (Democrats: 66%, Republicans: 71%). 
    • Members of the political parties are just 6% apart on whether “GenAI government policies are not designed to help Americans” (Democrats: 67%, Republicans: 73%). 

Polling Firm: More in Common via Dynata panel
Sample Size: N = 2,771 US General Population
Fieldwork Dates: June 4 to June 13, 2024
Margin of Error: +/- 2 for US avg. 

Polling Firm: More in Common
Large Scale Qual: From February to May, 2024, we asked our Americans in Conversation (AIC) Panel about GenAI over five short surveys.  N = 212 US participants were invited to complete each of the surveys, with participants roughly representative across US Census demographics, including age, gender, race, and partisanship.
Focus Groups: From July to August 2024, we held eight 1-hour focus groups with four key audiences of American adults (total N = 49): rural residents with blue collar jobs, politically very liberal, high in feelings of belonging, low in feelings of belonging.

83%

of Americans believe it is likely that GenAI “will make it more difficult to trust news media” 

76%

of Americans believe it is likely that GenAI “will lead to humans becoming more lazy” 

only 18%

of Americans believe “the government is doing too much or far too much regulation of Generative AI” 

Overview

GenAI is a highly relevant topic that, at least for now, is not polarized. Viewpoints are less entrenched in identity-based and cultural conflicts, allowing for more open debates around how to manage these new technologies. There is genuine excitement about its potential, and as the home to most GenAI startups, the United States is in a position to lead in this area. This change in the tenor of our conversation would be most welcome by the Exhausted Majority and beyond. 

By contrast, political inaction could be costly, as Americans fear GenAI may erode distrust in media and institutions, deepen political division and social alienation, and widen economic inequality. 

In pursuit of our mission, we outline steps that policy advocates, government officials, and tech leaders can pursue during this window of opportunity to avoid GenAI’s worst effects, promote its healthy integration, and give Americans agency over their future. 

Related Reports

Tech, Social Media, & Disinformation
Cover titled 'Americans' Attitudes on Social Media'

13 May 2024

American Attitudes on Social Media

This study explores Americans’ views on social media, smartphone usage, and whether they believe regulations need to be in place to restrict usage for children. 

Trust
Cover titled 'Two Stories of Distrust'

01 May 2021

Two Stories of Distrust

Download Full Report

Explore the depth of our research at your fingertips. Get the complete insights by downloading the full report today.

Sign Up for Our Newsletter

What unites and divides Americans today? This newsletter takes a closer look at issues pressing on America’s social and political fabric and provides recommendations for how to strengthen ties to keep us bound together.