Beyond MAGA: A Report on the Trump Coalition’s Views on Greenland, Venezuela, and America First

More in Common’s landmark study, Beyond MAGA: A Profile of the Trump Coalition, is the most comprehensive segmentation study of 2024 Trump voters to date. Based on over 18,000 interviews, the study identifies four types of Trump voters, each with distinct values and motivations: MAGA Hardliners, Anti-Woke Conservatives, Mainline Republicans, and the Reluctant Right. These groups share common concerns about illegal immigration, progressive overreach, and American decline, but hold distinct identities, competing priorities, and sometimes clashing worldviews. Understanding these complexities is essential for making sense of American politics today. 

In this report, we apply the “Beyond MAGA” segmentation to examine how the Trump coalition interprets and responds to major foreign policy developments in January 2026, and whether Trump voters see the President’s actions as consistent with, or contradictory to, his “America First” philosophy. We focus on reactions to U.S. military strikes in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, President Trump’s pursuit of purchasing Greenland, and attitudes toward potential U.S. military interventions elsewhere in the Americas and in Iran.

We find that while the Trump coalition is divided over the idea of purchasing Greenland, Trump voters across most segments overwhelmingly support the U.S. military strike against Maduro, including those who identify as “America First.” Few see U.S. control of Venezuela as conflicting with America First principles; instead, many believe the intervention would advance American interests by reducing drug trafficking and increasing U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere. Taken together, these findings suggest that “America First,” as Trump voters understand and embrace it, is not a rigid set of isolationist foreign policy positions but a flexible guiding principle, centered on prioritizing perceived American interests above all else.

Key Takeaways

1. Among Trump voters, purchasing Greenland is twice as popular as a military takeover (46% vs 23%), but support for buying remains divided.

2. Trump voters across most segments overwhelmingly back the U.S. military strike against Nicolás Maduro, except the Reluctant Right. Most Trump voters who identify as “America First” also support the strike.

3. Most Trump voters across segments believe removing Maduro from power would advance U.S. interests by reducing drug trafficking and increasing U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere. 

4. Across segments, few Trump voters see short-term U.S. control of Venezuela as contrary to “America First.” MAGA Hardliners are most convinced it aligns with the principle, followed by pluralities of Anti-Woke Conservatives and Mainline Republicans.

5. Although viewing U.S. control of Venezuela as compatible with “America First,” most Trump voters prefer limiting spending or avoiding cuts to domestic programs.